Fort Wayne South Side
Boys - Girls
2017 - 2018 - 2019
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State Rank #121
New Haven Semi-State Rank #36
Marion Regional Rank #6
Bellmont Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Manchester Invitational Northrop Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Summit Athletic Conf. Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/18 9/1 9/8 9/15 9/22 9/29 10/6 10/13 10/20
Team Rating 1,020 1,117 1,041 1,051 1,039 1,163 1,090 923 1,029
Team Adjusted Rating 1,117 1,041 1,051 1,039 1,118 1,090 923 1,029
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Manchester Invitational Northrop Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Summit Athletic Conf. Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
297  Lauren Walda 9 20:44 20:27 20:56 20:34 20:38 20:57 20:41 20:50 20:30 20:53
898  Madeline Hensler 9 22:22 23:19 22:48 23:09 22:33 23:06 22:58 21:52 22:16
1,080  Elizabeth Kolkman 12 22:46 22:49 22:14 22:58 23:08 22:58 22:54 22:17 22:41
1,099  Katey Niblack 9 22:48 22:58 22:48 22:35 22:24 23:15 22:53 22:17 23:38
Savonna McGhee 10 24:16 25:41 24:46 24:04 24:43 25:01 23:54 23:51
Seloni Licona 10 26:18 26:35 26:45 25:46 26:42 25:43




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 6.0 159 0.4 2.8 93.8 2.9 0.2
Sectionals 100% 4.0 129 0.7 95.9 2.9 0.4 0.1 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Walda 100% 72.3 100.0% 100.0%
Madeline Hensler 7.9% 141.4 7.9% 7.9%
Elizabeth Kolkman 0.2% 146.5 0.3% 0.3%
Katey Niblack 0.0% 148.5 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Walda 100% 12.7 0.3 1.0 1.1 2.3 4.5 5.4 7.4 7.8 11.0 12.9 13.0 11.2 9.2 7.2 3.2 1.7 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Madeline Hensler 100% 35.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 98.7%
Elizabeth Kolkman 100% 42.5 82.3%
Katey Niblack 100% 43.0 79.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lauren Walda 7.6 0.7 2.7 5.8 8.7 16.4 28.5 28.1 6.9 1.9 0.5 0.2
Madeline Hensler 21.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.9 5.3 8.6 9.5 10.5 10.6 9.8 9.8 9.5 7.3
Elizabeth Kolkman 27.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.0 2.2 3.1 4.0 7.5 7.0
Katey Niblack 27.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.5 3.0 4.2 5.0 7.3